Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1.731661 1.997052 2.283776 2.615854 2.989122 3.394967 3.868846
2024-10-20 1.271511 1.626522 2.044460 2.569556 3.208132 3.955796 4.893385
2024-10-27 1.004052 1.408540 1.922011 2.613818 3.512588 4.630880 6.116277
2024-11-03 0.811190 1.237269 1.815903 2.644791 3.784655 5.277757 7.358245
2024-11-10 0.660725 1.088995 1.707674 2.644174 3.998438 5.853624 8.547182
2024-11-17 0.536239 0.951486 1.587262 2.600049 4.133339 6.320077 9.613232
2024-11-24 0.437334 0.832878 1.472820 2.542041 4.230581 6.728581 10.616326
2024-12-01 0.373102 0.758250 1.413393 2.555811 4.428620 7.289455 11.870708
2024-12-08 0.315320 0.683232 1.340443 2.534661 4.563304 7.757258 13.010170
2024-12-15 0.280741 0.644301 1.322590 2.600493 4.839412 8.457279 14.544404
2024-12-22 0.243929 0.593692 1.275605 2.607698 5.014140 9.003350 15.866092
2024-12-29 0.226627 0.579972 1.295037 2.734924 5.403104 9.920336 17.834186
2025-01-05 0.204851 0.553892 1.289448 2.819749 5.733457 10.777627 19.785635
2025-01-12 0.175370 0.504477 1.230072 2.795006 5.864325 11.307982 21.232321
2025-01-19 0.157042 0.477812 1.214261 2.854170 6.155469 12.135437 23.234605
2025-01-26 0.139553 0.449386 1.190201 2.892968 6.409834 12.912996 25.195212
2025-02-02 0.121981 0.416625 1.151138 2.894764 6.590381 13.566718 26.973157
2025-02-09 0.104111 0.378543 1.093356 2.848136 6.667970 14.033017 28.438821
2025-02-16 0.088132 0.341710 1.032312 2.785841 6.705797 14.423822 29.784901
2025-02-23 0.078005 0.320261 1.006484 2.800982 6.905934 15.135091 31.759098
2025-03-02 0.067664 0.295206 0.966928 2.778184 7.021126 15.685595 33.457165
2025-03-09 0.062133 0.285141 0.966279 2.849518 7.346983 16.669212 36.024907
2025-03-16 0.055066 0.267513 0.941507 2.857342 7.530588 17.376313 38.092509